Is fear the biggest problem?
Medical scientists faced with
developing a H1N1 vaccine encounter numerous problems of various kinds. These
can include any of the following, but the biggest problem they encounter
initially, may be that of fear. Any new virus can present a frightening
scenario for the medical scientist who discovers it, as at first, he or she has
no idea of its actual level of contagion.
Medical scientists confronted
with having to develop a new vaccine for a virus can experience fear of the
unknown. Fear of any kind, needs to be over-come and generally is, through
advances in medical science, education and experience.
If there is no vaccine
developed, the fear of the actual disease process itself, can prove to be even
greater. Thus, fear can work in a positive direction by being a motivating
factor in the advancement of medical science.
Producing the initial dosage of
an H1N1 vaccine may not appear to be a monumental task, but attempting to
produce massive doses, sufficient for the entire population of a world coping
with an H1N1 pandemic, would appear to be almost unfathomable in its magnitude.
The question of time becomes
problematic for medical scientists, because sufficient time is essential in
order to create, test and evaluate the effectiveness of an H1N1 vaccine. Time,
in this context, must be regarded as prior to any mass production, distribution
and administration of the vaccine.
Time limits or constraints
present a problem because one has to ask how much time there is to create and
perfect an effective vaccine. Medical scientists may wonder if the time frame
allowed is realistic. Even when given enough time to create a vaccine, as well
as sufficient vaccine for everyone who needs it, will it then prove to be too
late to be effective?
There is always the question of
the degree of expertise of medical scientists. While there are those who have
had previous experience with the H1N1 virus, there are new medical researchers
who may require more education and training, even though time does not permit.
The virus itself can present a
problem, depending upon whether it is an entirely new virus or a mutation
of an older or previous virus. An innovative virus can present a whole
conglomeration of new and different problems. Is it possible to identify the
correct virus immediately? Will it be comparable to other known viruses? Is
there a similar virus from which to grow vaccine, when one uses the law of
similars to create a new vaccine?
What is the degree of
seriousness of the virus in terms of human infection, debilitation or
mortality? How fast will it spread? What are its known triggers? Are there
other unknown factors?
The population of world is
humongous and this too, creates a problem. Even if medical scientists are able
to produce an effective H1N1 vaccine, will there be sufficient quantities for
everyone or will there be a shortage? If so, who will receive the vaccine? Who
has the authority to make a decision about distribution and administration?
Money to create a vaccine is
required immediately, in a pandemic. What will be the source of the funding?
Will the demand for money exhaust global health care resources? Laboratory
testing facilities are required to produce and test the initial H1N1 vaccine.
These kinds of facilities are costly, too.
Then, there is the problem
related to the actual vulnerability of the global population. Who is the most
vulnerable to the H1N1 virus and the least vulnerable? Who is the most likely
to contract the disease, if there is no vaccine available for them? Who needs
it the most and who will not need it?
Assuming that an effective
vaccine is developed, is there an appropriate medium in which to start/grow an
H1N1 virus vaccine, en masse? Is it available immediately? How many eggs are
required and where will they be obtainable?
Accurate testing of the vaccine
is essential. This testing has to done prior to any mass production or
manufacturing of a vaccine to be distributed to a worldwide population. The
multiplication of vaccine doses for masses of people could prove to be a major
problem.
A question arises with respect to how many human tests are required to prove its effectiveness. Again, is
there time for all of these tests to be completed? Control studies are
essential with regard to a new vaccine. Is there any merit in the mass
production of a placebo, as well as a vaccine? The placebo effect could prove
to render the same results, scientifically. Can one effectively test an H1N1
vaccine without using a control or a placebo?
Manufacturing and production,
distribution, shipping and handling of a vaccine, once it has been created is
problematic, because of its magnitude. Media criticism, regardless of action or
inaction, is inevitable. Administration of the vaccine and medical reporting
with regard to positive or negative effects of the vaccine, demands accurate
record keeping. Statistics have to gathered and assessed. This all takes more
time, more people, as well as more money.
For drug companies, the record
of vaccine sales may include a profit or a loss. Is creating an H1N1 vaccine, a
money making proposition? Who will benefit the most, financially? To whom or
where will the profits be distributed? Will the profits go back into more
research? Who will absorb the losses encountered?
Spoilage of vaccine and
possible contamination are both possible. How does one avoid that? The use of
mercury in a vaccine may be subject to severe scrutiny, as well.
The law of supply and demand of
H1N1 vaccine for the masses, is only part of the problem. There are other
issues like special vaccines required for infants and children, elderly people,
pregnant women or those medically compromised and thus, more vulnerable.
Is there global, diplomatic
immunity for medical scientists, with regard to possible prosecution, resulting
from possible side effects or after effects of vaccination?
Does this vaccine confer immunity to the H1N1 virus or just
one sub-type of the virus? Is another H1N1 sub-type going to require another vaccine?
Who has natural versus acquired immunity? Why is this so? Where there is
natural immunity, a vaccine would not be required.
Who determines which country or
countries should receive or will not receive vaccine? Then there is the
governmental or legislative action necessary regarding mass vaccination on
local, regional and global levels.
Public awareness and knowledge is problematic. How much do
people know and what should they know?
What should they not be told and thus,
may never know?
Be aware that there is no limit to the number of problems that medical scientists may be confronted with prior to, during or after a pandemic. Being aware that these kinds of problems exist and have to be resolved with regard to creating an H1N1 vaccine, helps people become more appreciative of the work of medical scientists.
Has the H1N1 vaccine been effective?
Time will tell. If not, then there will be further questions raised and other problems to be resolved. Invariably, one issue or concern leads to the next, but that is the nature of medical science, education and progress.
This is just a brief recap with regard to some of the problems and questions raised with regard to creating a vaccine for the current H1N1 pandemic.
Now, with an eye to the future, one might ask, what plans are in progress with regard to the next, new virus or subtype of the H1N1 virus? What recommendations do medical scientists have for the future of humankind?
Is it ever going to be possible to prevent another pandemic? Is fear really the biggest problem?
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